27 февраля 2018


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The US mayoralty of the stock market.The next measure is called seizing.

The U.S. midterm elections, which will determine the direction of U.S. President Donald Trump's policies in the second half of his term, ended in a division between the Republican and Democratic parties as expected. A new turning point has been set up in the stock markets at home and abroad, which have been unstable due to trade disputes between the U.S. and China. However, analysts say that China needs to make a forward-looking choice ahead of the U.S.-China summit in order for the trade dispute to end and the domestic stock market to gain power. 

On the morning after the U.S. midterm elections, the KOSPI began selling 2109.97 on Tuesday, 1.5 percent higher than the previous trading day. The news that the Democratic Party regained a majority of the House of Representatives in eight years in an interim U.S. election on Thursday is expected to put pressure on President Donald Trump and his Republican-led move to impose taxes on China. China's Shanghai stock market, which was involved in the trade war, also began trading with a rise of more than 0.7 percent. 

"The Democratic Party wants to control the level of public pressure in response to China's unfair trade practices and currency manipulation," Keeum Securities Research Center said. "The House of Representatives will control the speed of the trade war with weapons." 

As the Democratic Party's victory in the House of Representatives was predicted, President Trump made a conciliatory gesture, saying, "We could achieve a great deal with China after a telephone conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping." 

Despite market expectations, however, the U.S.-China trade war is unlikely to end immediately with the victory of the Democratic Party. Hong Kong media South China Morning Post reported that even after the mid-term election, mass hawks will be in Washington. As a short example, House floor leader Nancy Pelosi ordered the White House in March to "do more to protect American workers and products."

The victory of most major U.S. farmers and most Republican candidates in the Rust Belt, which is most affected by the trade war with China, is also expected to boost the Trump administration's offensive against China. Senator Mike Bost, a Republican who actively supported imposing tariffs while losing his seat in Missouri, remained the Illinois senator. "The U.S. voters ordered us to continue the trade war with China," Bloomberg said. 

Lee Sang-jae, a researcher at Yujin Investment & Securities, said, "The Democratic Party will also agree on protecting intellectual property rights and blocking technology transfers to China." 

So far, the Chinese government has also shown no sign of dropping the white flag. China`s Vice President Wang Qishan, who oversees the negotiations with the United States, said in a recent speech at the Innovation Economic Forum in Singapore that Beijing will firmly support the multilateral trade system and oppose unilateralism and protectionism. Ma Jun, a member of the monetary policy committee at the People's Bank of China, also told Bloomberg that the yuan's pose is not important, implying that even if the yuan breaks, it could slow down into a trade war. 

If the yuan continues to weaken, the strong dollar will strengthen and investor sentiment in emerging economies, including the Korean stock market, will likely worsen. "The U.S.-China trade agreement is an important factor in emerging markets," said Kim Il-hyuk, a researcher at KB Securities. 

Experts say, however, that it is time for China to show a forward-looking attitude, as the U.S. will lose if it continues to play extremely hardball against the U.S. "If China prolongs the trade war with the U.S., it 토토사이트 will lose its future growth engine due to rapid decline in trade balance and capital outflow," a stock market expert said on condition of anonymity.

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